Estimate your number of leaks from your subscriber and content counts, then the income lost per leak as a share of your subscription price.
This tool provides a simple estimate, not financial or legal advice.
The model uses only the numbers and assumptions you enter — it doesn't assume any fixed 'typical' leak rate or revenue impact.
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Your own estimate of how likely any one subscriber is to leak any one piece.
e.g. 200% ≈ two months of subscription value lost to that one leak.
Estimated leaks
49.7
Loss per leak
$40
Total estimated loss
$1,987
Estimated leaks vs. subscriber count (other inputs held fixed)
This is a transparent two-stage model, not a statistical estimate. Stage 1 — estimated leaks: each subscriber is modeled as having an independent chance (your "leak chance per subscriber" input) of leaking any single piece of content; across your subscriber count, that gives a probability any one piece leaks, multiplied by your content count. Stage 2 — income loss: each estimated leak costs your "% of monthly price" input in lost revenue. Every number here is either a direct input or a plain calculation from your inputs — there's no built-in "typical leak rate" or "typical revenue impact" baked in, since no verified public data exists for either. Treat the result as a rough, order-of-magnitude estimate driven entirely by your own assumptions.